TOPLEY'S TOP 10

Midterm Year Pullbacks Have Been Followed by Double-Digit Gains

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1. Midterm Year Pullbacks Have Been Followed by Double-Digit Gains

Advisor Perspectives Blog

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2. But Stocks Have Risen After Every Midterm Election Since 1962

Advisor Perspectives Blog

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3. DRAM Stocks Summer Volatility Summary-Bespoke

Bespoke Premium

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4. Hedge Funds Shorting Nasdaq??

@Barchart

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5. Ex China Emerging Markets 5-YearTrade--Emerging Markets Ex-China +79% vs. vs. I-Shares China ETF -14%

Y-Charts

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6. Private Credit Bad Loans Still Ticking Higher

Financial Time

Perplexity

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7. Home Depot 5 Years of Flat Returns

Google Finance

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8. 11 Years in Penal Colony for Putin Critic

Semafor

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9. 1/3 of Middle Class Wealth in Real Estate

USA Facts

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10. How to Enjoy the Action Without Wrecking Your Wealth

None of this means prediction markets need to be off-limits. It means treating them the way you’d treat a trip to Vegas or a fantasy football buy-in: entertainment funded with money you can genuinely afford to lose.

Keep that money in a separate account from your investing dollars, and set a hard cap before you start, the same way you’d budget for any discretionary spending. Your long-term wealth building, the boring index funds, retirement accounts and diversified holdings, should never share space with a contract that pays out once and disappears.

The key is naming what you’re doing honestly. A prediction market bet on next quarter’s jobs report can be genuinely fun, and even informative, as long as you’re calling it what it is before you fund the account, not after you’ve lost more than you meant to risk. 

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Indices that may be included herein are unmanaged indices and one cannot directly invest in an index. Index returns do not reflect the impact of any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. The index information included herein is for illustrative purposes only.


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