TOPLEY'S TOP 10

Polymarket Line on AI Bubble Bursting... Junk Bond Spreads Move Up But Still Low

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1. Polymarket Line on AI Bubble Bursting

MarketWatch

MarketWatch

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2. Junk Bond Spreads Move Up But Still Low

Bloomberg Opinion

Bloomberg Opinion

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3. Investment Banks Revenues Trading vs. Net Interest Income

Goldman is turning into more of a lender, but deals, trading and fees still bring in about three-quarters of its revenue.

ProCap Insights

ProCap Insights

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4. China Large Cap FXI -7% this Month…Negative 5-Year Returns

Google Finance

Google Finance

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5. Gold and Silver Miners Buybacks

Jared Dillian, Dirtnap

Jared Dillian, Dirtnap

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6. SPCX and TSLA Moving in Tandem

Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

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7. Ukraine Approval of US Leadership

Semafor

Semafor

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8. Trump Accounts for Adults

Adults could be getting Trump Accounts. Here's how the kids' version would need to change.
By Alex Nicoll
• After expanding Trump Accounts to all children, the administration may look to adults next.
• We spoke to five experts about what should be in a Trump Account program for adults.
• Accounts should support the millions of Americans who don't have retirement savings, they said.
• Trump Accounts, created for children, may be coming to adults, too.
• Brad Gerstner, an architect of Trump Accounts, said on Wednesday that the tax-advantaged accounts should be rolled out to every US citizen under 40, though he flagged that Congress would need to pass new legislation to make that happen.
• President Trump similarly said on Tuesday that the White House is exploring creating an "alternative" Trump Account for adults.
Read more: Business Insider

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9. The Truth About Brain Fog

Dr. Mark Hyman
Dr. Mark Hyman
Dr. Mark Hyman

Dr. Mark Hyman

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10. 5 Ways Nature Nourishes Our Emotions

Psychology Today The science behind why nature feels so good. Marianna Pogosyan Ph.D.

1. Emotion regulation

Emotion regulation is the multifaceted process behind the what, when, and how of our efforts to shape our feelings. According to the process model of emotion regulation, this includes five distinct processes: situation selection (choosing which situations to enter), situation modification (changing the situation in order to align with our emotional goals), attentional deployment (where and how we direct our attention), cognitive change (reframing the way we think about a situation), and response modulation (how we try to shape our emotional response).

Nature contact can influence each of these aspects. For example, as the authors point out, people often seek out natural spaces such as parks and watersides, in part because they expect to feel positive emotions there (situation selection). Being in nature is also associated with less rumination (attentional deployment).

2. Psychoneuroimmunology

The mutual influence of mind and body processes is well established. Psychoneuroimmunology frameworks like the Social Safety Theory describe how our emotions – whether positive or negative – affect immune function and inflammation in the body, while inflammatory cytokines may in turn impact our emotions. When the body is in a state of stress and senses or anticipates threat, the immunological response ramps up. While heightened activation can be adaptive in the short run, it becomes harmful when chronically switched on. Here, too, nature contact may offer help. For example, inhaling certain volatile organic compounds that are emitted from trees may have anti-inflammatory effects on the body. Some studies have also found that nature exposure can have positive immunological effects through reductions in interleukin-6 (a pro-inflammatory molecule that when chronically elevated is implicated in autoimmune and inflammatory disorders), and increases in natural killer cells (white blood cells that destroy virus-infected and malignant cells).

3. Human microbiome

The microbes in our gut (“the hidden kingdom”) influence many aspects of our biological health, including hormonal, immune and neural processes. Thanks to the workings of the gut-brain axis, they also affect how we feel. Being in nature, having skin contact with soil or other natural elements, or inhaling airborne microbes can impact the diversity and composition of the microbiome. For example, a two-year biodiversity intervention study from Finland found that children whose playgrounds were enriched with natural elements gained more beneficial microbes on their skin and lost potentially harmful bacteria compared to controls.

 

4. Sleep

Most of us have personal evidence of how sleep affects our emotions. How often, for example, has poor sleep played havoc with some or other aspect of our affective functioning – from the kinds of emotions we experience during the day, to our success at regulating them? Nature has been called “an environmental determinant” of sleep health. Living near green spaces is associated with better quality and duration of sleep, while nature visits have been associated with fewer nights of insufficient sleep.

5. Physical activity

Physical activity benefits many aspects of our subjective well-being, including our affective health. It does so by increasing positive emotions, decreasing negative emotions and helping us use more adaptive emotion regulation strategies. As Bratman and Gross (2026) write, natural environments are predictors of physical activity for a variety of reasons – from removing obstacles to movement, to making exercise more enjoyable.

The paths that nature takes to exert its beneficial effects on humans are many and mysterious. Much remains to be uncovered by science. This makes the stroll through the autumn woods all the more magical.

Read more: Psychology Today

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